Can SINNERS Steal Best Picture? | Oscars 2026 Final Predictions
It's the final reckoning. The Oscars Outsider crew is back one last time before Hollywood's biggest night to go through EVERY category and give you our ultimate predictions for the 2026 Academy Awards. The big question: Can Sinners pull off the...
March 11, 2026
2025 Oscar Season Scoreboard
Track our hosts' predictions and see how they're scoring throughout the awards season
Craig — 492 pts 🥇
Dylan — 482 pts 🥈
About Oscars Outsider
Oscars Outsider is a podcast where Craig Midwinter and Dylan Ferguson break down the Oscars the way most people break down sports. We follow the awards race week by week — the narratives, the precursors, the surprises, the discourse, and the strategy behind every contender's campaign.
We treat awards season like a competitive ecosystem, tracking momentum, analyzing the politics of voting bodies, and running our own Oscars Fantasy Draft to score nominations, wins, snubs, and everything in between.
Perfect if you like:
- •Oscars coverage with a sports-brain framing
- •Deep dives into Oscars history and film analysis
- •Strategic breakdowns of awards season campaigns
- •Thoughtful film reviews and industry insights
Craig Midwinter
Co-host and Oscars strategist with a passion for awards season narratives.
Dylan Ferguson
Co-host bringing film analysis and Oscars history expertise.
All Episodes
Is Timothée DONE? SAG Just Flipped the Oscar Race
The SAG Awards may have just blown the Best Actor race wide open. Michael B. Jordan wins. Sinners surges. And suddenly Timothée Chalamet doesn’t look so inevitable anymore. In this episode, we...
March 3, 2026
Why Were the Oscars Started? The Real Story of 1929
In this episode of the Oscars Outsider Podcast, we go back to 1929 to unpack why the Academy Awards were created in the first place. The Oscars weren’t born as a pure celebration of art. They...
February 25, 2026
Was Goodfellas Robbed at the Oscars?
At the 1991 Academy Awards, Dances With Wolves beat Goodfellas for Best Picture — a decision often called one of the biggest Oscar snubs in Academy Awards history. In this episode of Oscars Outsider,...
February 18, 2026
How we'd change the Oscars, plus Frankenstein reviewed!
This week on The Oscars Outsider Podcast, we talk through the changes we’d make to the Academy Awards — from category structure and voting rules to the bigger philosophical question of what the...
February 10, 2026
Is Someone Trying to Kill Marty Supreme’s Oscar Chances?
This week on The Oscars Outsider Podcast, we break down the growing evidence that Oscar season might be getting messy — from tabloid stories and anonymous mass emails to trade reporting connecting...
February 4, 2026
Is "Sinners" the New Best Picture Frontrunner?
Sinners just broke the all-time record for Oscar nominations — but what does that actually tell us? We start by taking the temperature of the current Oscar race, digging into what the nominations...
January 28, 2026
The Oscar Nominations Went as Expected… Mostly
The Oscar nominations are finally here — and they didn’t break the way we expected. In this episode, we react in real time to the full list of nominees, sorting through the surprises, the snubs, and...
January 23, 2026
Oscar Nomination Predictions, the 82nd Oscars, and One Battle After Another
With Oscar nominations just a day away, we lock in our final predictions for which films will make the Best Picture lineup, not who will win, but who will get in. We debate the strength of films...
January 21, 2026
The Weirdest and the Most Iconic Oscar Campaigns
The weirdest Oscars campaign of all time. The most iconic Best Actress campaign of all time. In this episode of Oscars Outsider, we explore two unforgettable moments in awards history: Melissa Leo’s...
January 13, 2026
The Golden Globes Were Rigged (And Everyone Knew)
For decades, the Golden Globes were Hollywood’s strangest open secret. Long before their modern reboot, and long before the scandals that finally brought down the Hollywood Foreign Press...
January 6, 2026
The Oscars at the End of History | Oscars Outsider Podcast
In 1999, the Academy Awards didn’t just celebrate movies — they celebrated a worldview. In this episode of Oscars Outsider, we revisit the 71st Academy Awards and ask whether the ceremony represents...
December 24, 2025
Our WAY TOO EARLY Oscars Fantasy Draft: What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
Welcome to Oscars Outsider, a limited-run awards-season spinoff from the team behind Bravo Outsider. Each year we obsess over the Oscars, the gossip, the precursors, and the chaos — so this season...
December 9, 2025